![]() ![]() The odds against hitting a flush when you hold four suited cards with one card to come is expressed as approximately 4-to-1. Odds can be expressed both “for” and “against”. Don’t worry about any complex math – we will show you how to crunch the numbers, but we’ll also provide some simple and easy shortcuts that you can commit to memory. We’ll start with some basic math before showing you how to correctly calculate your odds. In this lesson we’re going to focus on drawing odds in poker and how to calculate your chances of hitting a winning hand. That statement relates to the importance of knowing and understanding the math of the game. The game just determines who can tell the difference. It has also been said that in poker, there are good bets and bad bets. Although you don’t need to be a math genius to play poker, a solid understanding of probability will serve you well and knowing the odds is what it’s all about in poker. He also blogs about how to beat the micro stakes over at our poker math and probability lesson it was stated that when it comes to poker “ the math is essential“. Nathan "BlackRain79" Williams is a poker pro and the author of the popular micro stakes strategy books Crushing the Microstakes, Modern Small Stakes, and The Microstakes Playbook. What kind of odds are you normally looking for when you decide to set mine? Let me know in the comments below. Do you think this is a profitable spot to set mine versus a short-stacked recreational player and out of position versus a loose and aggressive player? But when he is short-stacked like this, I prefer just folding our hand preflop. If the recreational player (who we do have position on), had a full stack of 100 big blinds instead, then I think it is profitable to set mine. ![]() But overall I think calling here to set mine with pocket fives out of position will be a slightly losing play over the long run. In some cases you could consider making a light four-bet as well. As I mentioned off the top, this isn't really enough for me to want to call here and set mine, which is why I would suggest simply folding in this spot. Unfortunately the recreational player only started the hand with about 40 big blinds. All of the times when you call, miss your set, and then have to fold can start adding up in a big way. Since you will simply have to fold most of the time when you miss your set, you can probably already see why it is important to have the right odds. In other words, you will only hit your set around 12 percent of the time. The first reason why you need to have at least 15-to-1 on your call is because you are roughly 7.5-to-1 against even hitting your set. Why Do They Need to Have So Much in Their Stack? For example, if the preflop bet is $4, then in order to call, I want my opponent to have at least $60 in his stack before I try to "set mine" with my pocket pair. What I mean by this is that your opponent needs to have at least 15 times the amount that you need to call in his stack. I typically suggest having at least 15-to-1 odds on your call when set mining. "Set mining" refers to calling with a small or medium pocket pair with the hopes of hitting a set and winning a big pot. One of the biggest mistakes that I see a lot of newer poker players make is set mining without the correct odds. ![]()
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